DX : DRAM pricing performance seems promising this
year due to supply constraint. What's your view
on DRAM market outlook for 2004 ?
Dr.
Pai :
Well, yes, the surge of DDR SDRAM prices was mainly contributed to the supply
constraint caused by the delayed 110nm migration and DRAM makers'
diversification on product mix. Most major makers such as Samsung, Infineon,
Hynix and Micron are increasing capacity allocated to NAND flash or CMOS image
sensor to meet the rising demand on handsets, DSC and USB drives. Also, some
DRAM makers increase capacity allocated to low density SDRAM and foundry
services, therefore, reducing the capacity growth for commodity DRAM. As for
Nanya , the yield rate on 110nm is great so far since we use the most advanced
equipments in both our 200mm fabs and the Inotera fab. Our ramp up schedule of
the110nm was delayed for one to two months, due to the late delivery of some
equipments, and the extended qualification time on this new equipment.
I expect a pretty tight supply for the second half of
2004, especially for the contract market. The estimated demand for the second
half is expected to be higher than the estimated supply according to our market
research and the forecast demand from our OEM customers. Though I am positive
for Nanya to have a significant bit growth from Q3 to Q4, the total DRAM
supply, especially for the contract customers, will still lag behind the
demand.

DX: Regarding the 110nm micron migration,
many DRAM makers have experience bottlenecks at the migration process. You have
mentioned that the delay for Nanya is caused by the prolonged delivery of
equipment and the extending of qualification on the new equipment . Can you
tell us more ?
Dr. Pai :
Both our 200mm fabs and the joint venture, Inotera are using the most advanced
equipments, including ArF(193nm) scanners which cost more than US $20 million
each. The equipment suppliers couldn't meet our demanding delivery schedule.
Using the ArF also requires some new photo-resist, and therefore, extends the
learning curve. Both factors slightly delays our schedule on the 110nm volume
production. Besides these, we are very optimistic on the ramp up progress.
Nanya will have both 8-inch fabs migrated to 110nm in the third quarter. Only
14K in our fab-1 will remain at 0.14um micron technology node for specialty
DRAM and foundry service at the end of 2004.

DX: For the brand value enhancement,
Nanya has made great progress in building Nanya and Elixir brands for
different markets such as contract and spot markets. What is your next
step ?
Dr. Pai : Nanya's goal
is to provide DRAM products with quality and stable supply to our customers.
Nanya brand is for our OEM customers, who take 60% to 70% of our total
output, and the Elixir brand is for channel customers in the spot market
which takes the remaining. We try to keep the allocation ratio fixed within
a range to secure both markets with a stable supply. When the OEM customers'
demand turns stronger than our channel customers, what we do is to expedite
our capacity ramp up in Inotera rather than choosing not to meet our channel
customers' demands.

DX: Nanya has made a bet on DDR
SDRAM in 2001. This strategy turned to be a success for Nanya by increasing
market share significantly and was one of the only two DRAM makers which
made profit in 2002. What is your strategy for DDR2 and projection of
market share of DDR2 to the end of 2004 ?
Dr. Pai : As Intel
aggressively pushes DDR2 to be the next mainstream memory specification,
we believe DDR2 stands a good chance to replace DDR SDRAM soon. With DDR2,
the memory subsystem can support the front side bus beyond 1GHz, which
will open the road map for system builders and users who demand higher
performance. Nanya will be introducing DDR2 with 110nm technology and
will be switching to 90nm technology later. Our goal is to have 50% bit
growth in 2004 and to double that in 2005, with a major portion of the
added capacity going to the higher performance and lower power DDR2 products.
Now, our cost for DDR2 has been controlled to be within 30% over DDR1
SDRAM. The advantages of DDR2 should make it acceptable to the market
within some premium over DDR. However, the current pricing and good demand
for DDR SDRAM will make the transition to DDR2 very delicate for both
OEMs and DRAM makers. Nanya has both the technology and the capacity ready
to meet our customers demand once DDR2 demand picks up.

DX: In addition to DDR2, what's the product mix strategy
and roadmap for Nanya Technology Corporation ?
Dr. Pai : Nanya is a company focused solely
on DRAM solutions, and therefore, we don't plan to enter other market
in the next few years. As for DRAM, we believe 256Megabit DDR devices
will still be produced and used in high volume. However, 512Megabit products
will become mainstream products in the market when the expected crossover
on price and cost occurring later this year. Nanya's 512Megabit DDR1 SDRAM,
designed by our own technology team, showed very good results on the first
cut silicon. It will only takes4 chips of the 512Mb DDR to build a 256MB
modules and we are expecting an increase in the demand from notebook PC
which requires lower power consumption.
At the beginning of this year, we were expecting 512Mb DDR SDRAM to account
for a significant portion of our total DRAM output, with 512M DDR1 and
512Mb DDR2. The portion of DDR2 could be readjusted according to the market
demand. Nanya also plans to launch low power SDRAM to the market in the
fourth quarter of this year. The low power SDRAM will be 256Megabit devices,
lead free, FBGA package or packed in MCP form for used in DSC and camcorder
markets. We will be increasing our foundry service to produce 1T Pseudo
SRAM up to10% of total capacity.
By the end of 2004, Nanya will have a complete product lines that covers
the unbuffered DIMM for desktop PC, SO-DIMM for notebook PC and registered
DIMM for servers and workstations. This progress will raise our ASP and
profit margin on DRAM products.

DX: Inotera is a joint venture between Infineon Technologies
and Nanya. Infineon Technologies has excellent accomplishment in trench
technology. However, as DRAM makers are aggressively migrating to advanced
technology to reduce the cost, technology constraints seems causing the
migration slower and harder. What do you think the constraints will be
for trench technology compared to stack technology ?
Dr. Pai : I can not comment on stacked technology
since we do not have all the information on this technology.
However, we are very confident with the development in trench technology.
We have already qualified the 90nm trench technology, and are working
good process in the 70nm trench process. Basically we have in our hands
the trech technologies we need for the next 5-8 years. If there's a problem
beyond 70nm, I would say, that it probably will be by the equipment supply.
We know 193nm scanners is suitable till around 70nm, but are not sure
what equipments will be used for 50nm technology at this moment.

DX: What will be the capex plan for Nanya Technology Corporation
and Inotera for year 2004 and 2005 ?
Dr. Pai : Our capital expenditure plan is US$260
million for Nanya and US$ 882 million for Inotera for 2004. The 2005 numbers
have not been proposed yet.

DX: What's the cost for DDR SDRAM produced by 8-inch fab
and 12-inch fab as for Nanya ?
Dr. Pai : To continue providing our customers
with quality DRAM products, Nanya has invested over 13% of revenue on
research and development. The fully loaded cost for our 0.14um technology
in 200mm fab is around $3.6 per chip. We expect the cost to be further
reduced with 0.11um mature yield rate in 200mm fabs and the cost for 0.11um
developed in 300mm will be even lower.

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